Monthly Archives: November 2008

Weird Quotes, Black Friday and Auto Sales

Random thought of the day:
My biggest monthly expense, outstripping rent, food, and even beer… is federal tax. Maybe we should all look at the bright side of this financial mess. By losing our jobs we will also lose our biggest expense.

In that vein, something like 10% of famous quotes go like this:
“We don’t stop playing because we grow old; we grow old because we stop playing.”

I was thinking about writing some software that would autogenerate these things.
We don’t X (for, because, to) Y, we Y (for, because, to) X.
Some completely nonsensical examples:
We don’t eat because we’re hungry, we’re hungry because we eat.
We don’t strive for greatness, greatness strives for us.
We shouldn’t exercise to get in shape, we should get in shape so that we might exercise more.

I think this is where Horatio Caine from CSI Miami gets his quotes:
“When you have everything, sometimes it feels like nothing”

Quick thought on Black Friday sales being ugly but better than expected. All of the people who decided to forgo car and truck purchases due to the recession are likely to spend some the money they saved on holiday shopping.

This looks like a shift from big ticket items (cars) to small ticket (gifts). Those looking for any sign of the bottom are quick to latch on to these stats. I’m not convinced that we’re through the woods yet in spite of economic deforestation / bailouts.

For next time. The graying of credentials. Degrees are losing their luster as employers learn to ask the right questions and interpret online reputation.

Image by net_efekt

Some Updates – Investing, Tech, Small Business, Econ

Sometimes I post in the comments of blogs I like and realize that they might make for decent blog posts so here are my thoughts on the market from Critical MAS.

Back in the day the smartest people in the room thought that the earth was at the center of the universe. They had fancy diagrams explaining the solar system and top calligraphers documenting the system.

There aren’t many calligraphers left these days. They’ve been replaced by anchors on CNBC.”

Other stuff:

  • Made some Improvements to NewsDiego, a local news site I’m building for San Diego.
  • NYTimes cover story on VoiceOfSanDiego’s success as a new breed of news org.
  • Signed up for Twitter, @kirkfhouse , need to start using it more
  • Met with some entrepreneurs the other day. Interesting talk about the future of small business
  • To summarize their thoughts – Automating customization is key. This is a problem I’ve faced trying to do local news across the country with Houndwire.com.
  • Business idea: Using news statistics to adjust ad campaigns in real time without human intervention.
  • Business idea: Layoffs are partly a result of businesses not considering the possiblity of simply cutting wages. The problem is partly due to inflation expectations. During inflation people generally don’t take pay cuts. Inflation is no longer a problem, at least for now. Businesses should offer pay cuts before laying people off only if it makes financial sense. The other problem is that businesses aren’t used to deflation so they aren’t well versed in cost cutting. Landlords are in the same boat. They don’t cut rent. If your boss cuts your pay and your landlord doesn’t cut your rent you might have to move. If you own a home you’re just screwed.
  • My Xbox 360 died. They’re fixing it for free. Going to get Netflix tied into it. When I get my own place I’m not getting cable if I have Hulu and Netflix. Need a good front end for media file playing, preferably with RSS/Torrent support
  • I predicted the economic trouble we’re in but I’m not really sure how America and the world will deal with the dramatic lifestyle changes that are going to be required.
  • Optimistic about the future of this country. A real economy not based on debt will probably suffer from deflation. If we can break the cycle of inflation in spite of monetary policy then I’ll have even more hope.
  • Deflation is like tough love. We’re not going to spend just because we’re afraid of inflation eating away at our wealth. We’re going to have to actually have money to buy things.
  • Watching price drops on SSDs with glee. The Intel X25-E keeps me awake at night. No good reviews yet. Nobody is using IOMeter to compare random write IOPs. What the hell. This thing will also shine on application installation and database benchmarks

Update, some numbers on IO now available, these are RAID-0:

Housing Bailout = Arm Flapping Skydivers


The brilliant minds running our financial system just announced yet another new housing bailout.
Gov’t launches new loan aid effort

There is only one analogy I can think of that does this ridiculous situation justice…

The people attempting to run our country for the last few decades are like pilots on a plane without landing gear. Instead of attempting an emergency landing on a freeway somewhere they’ve been gaining altitude to keep the passengers from looking at the ground. They pushed it too hard and the engines caught fire. Convincing us to jump out of the plane(bailouts) to avoid incineration (financial collapse) was not very difficult.

We’re now hurtling towards the earth, looking at the pilots for guidance. They’re flapping their arms and smiling. Since most of us have never skydived before we begin flapping our arms too, hoping for the best.

Why do the pilots want us flapping our arms? So we don’t punch them in the teeth on the way down.

Photo by Rick Neves